In my whole life, I have known no wise people who didn't read all the time - none, zero.
— Charlie Munger
Flawed current solutions
- Academic expertise: Despite the inter-relatedness of human systems most academic knowledge is silo'ed in disciplines e.g. politics, economics, finance, technology, statistics, international relations, science, business, religion, psychology etc. that don't speak to each other. Also, who has time to read 100 different journals to mine for insight?
- Journalism: Good job of being relevant but too much focus on breaking news rather than analysis. A lot of articles, even from top journals like the Economist, are very shallow, rarely drawing on the vast academic literature that exists. Good writing distracts from limited content.
- Blogosphere: Lots of diverse opinions, but finding good content is very difficult: density of (diverse) quality is too low. Who cares what a random blogger thinks? Plus, it is hard to analyse an argument independently from who is doing the arguing - particularly if that person is not actively pointing out potential flaws and limitations in their thinking.
- Conversation: People are often opinionated but it is hard to really become wiser through conversation as it is very dependent upon who you talk to and is subject to lots of biases like whether you like or relate to who is speaking. Also, it is very easy to talk to be heard, rather than to listen and learn.
booksonnews as a solution
- Each month booksonnews would analyse a big news issue from many different perspectives/disciplines. The name comes from the idea that lots of different books would be used to analyse a news item.
- Analysis would be brief, perhaps just 10-20 lines, but look to apply the core ideas to the news item specifically. When combined with perhaps 20-50 other books the content will still be a lot. At first each paragraph of analysis would be independent from the others but perhaps over time we will figure out a way to integrate the ideas as well.
- For those who are interested, there would be a follow on summary of the theory, book or data that was used to analyse the issue with links to more information and perhaps places to buy books etc.
- booksonnews may offer an interesting way to invert the learning process. Traditionally, students learn theories and tools without any sense of why they are useful and only after they have learnt them can they look to apply them. bookonnews would invert the process where the news becomes a filter for what is worth learning about.
Inversion: what types of flawed thinking is booksonnews going to try to avoid?
- Avoid 'man with a hammer syndrome', where a limited number of causal variables/models are weighted too heavily. Instead, systematically generate a large variety of explanations.
- Avoid emotional attachment to theories/view points by following Charlie Munger's prescription 'I’m not entitled to have an opinion on this subject unless I can state the arguments against my position better than the people do who are supporting it. I think only when I reach that stage am I qualified to speak.'
- Avoid silos of insight by forcing integration and comparison of different views and models. Any contradictions? Any compounding effects?
- Avoid failing to update views and opinions with the changing facts and situation by, up front, citing the conditions which would convince you to change your mind - and then actively seek out such evidence.
- Avoid the mistake of thinking you understand something when you don't. Try to estimate how well you understand something and where the limits of that understanding is.
Hypotheses/assumptions behind booksonnews
- A multi-disciplinary approach is more fruitful than a single discipline approach.
- There is a demand for deeper analysis of news, but admittedly less timely - perhaps even to the point where people would be willing to pay.
- It is possible to analyse an issue fruitfully from the lens of a specific discipline to an audience without domain expertise in that discipline.
- Readers will be willing to try a new and unproven news website and promote the website through word of mouth.
- AI or some cyborg addition (e.g. neural lace) do not completely change human processing power making traditional learning via reading etc. obsolete.